Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.008221 0.009674 0.011418 0.013701 0.016664 0.020454 0.025800
2025-07-06 0.006512 0.008286 0.010675 0.014252 0.019710 0.028190 0.043479
2025-07-13 0.005713 0.007673 0.010535 0.015278 0.023540 0.038810 0.074110
2025-07-20 0.005067 0.007076 0.010193 0.015781 0.026632 0.050049 0.119680
2025-07-27 0.004513 0.006491 0.009703 0.015831 0.028862 0.061161 0.185159
2025-08-03 0.004095 0.006037 0.009320 0.015938 0.031238 0.074730 0.297643
2025-08-10 0.003674 0.005515 0.008713 0.015430 0.031986 0.084584 0.437531
2025-08-17 0.003279 0.004982 0.008002 0.014531 0.031397 0.089770 0.585114
2025-08-24 0.002969 0.004562 0.007439 0.013828 0.031088 0.096109 0.813460
2025-08-31 0.002815 0.004398 0.007336 0.014134 0.033826 0.119158 1.706426
2025-09-07 0.002610 0.004119 0.006970 0.013741 0.034272 0.132324 3.014311
2025-09-14 0.002412 0.003837 0.006562 0.013167 0.033916 0.141142 5.125601
2025-09-21 0.002279 0.003678 0.006418 0.013312 0.036508 0.177364 26.620474
2025-09-28 0.002186 0.003585 0.006403 0.013812 0.040924 0.245246 NaN
2025-10-05 0.002134 0.003566 0.006544 0.014793 0.048277 0.389808 NaN
2025-10-12 0.002052 0.003477 0.006513 0.015273 0.053966 0.578134 NaN
2025-10-19 0.001951 0.003341 0.006355 0.015321 0.057629 0.794869 NaN
2025-10-26 0.001864 0.003223 0.006223 0.015423 0.061870 1.146745 NaN
2025-11-02 0.001754 0.003049 0.005936 0.014938 0.062154 1.389213 NaN
2025-11-09 0.001635 0.002848 0.005561 0.014077 0.059414 1.434957 NaN
2025-11-16 0.001534 0.002680 0.005255 0.013404 0.057644 1.548032 NaN
2025-11-23 0.001488 0.002625 0.005223 0.013697 0.063157 2.646221 NaN
2025-11-30 0.001416 0.002507 0.005018 0.013321 0.063355 3.338101 NaN